Quick Hit:

A YouGov survey shows former President Donald Trump holding a 5-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris among independent voters. The poll also highlights significant divisions within the independent electorate regarding their willingness to consider each candidate.

Key Details:

• 42% of independent voters support Trump, while 37% support Harris, with a 5-point lead for Trump.
• 55% of independent voters would consider voting for Trump, compared to 45% who would not.
• 53% of independent voters would not consider voting for Harris, while 47% are open to the possibility.

Diving Deeper:

Former President Donald Trump has taken a 5-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris among independent voters, according to a recent YouGov survey conducted from August 25 to 27. The poll, which surveyed 1,555 respondents, found that 42% of independent voters plan to vote for Trump, while 37% intend to cast their ballots for Harris.

The survey revealed that 13% of independent voters remain undecided, indicating a potential swing group that could significantly impact the election outcome. These undecided voters could play a crucial role in what is shaping up to be a competitive race.

The poll also highlighted deep divisions among independents regarding their willingness to consider each candidate. While 55% of independents said they would consider voting for Trump, 45% indicated they would not. In contrast, Harris faces slightly more resistance, with 53% of independents saying they would not consider voting for her, compared to 47% who are open to the possibility.

The survey's timing is notable, coming shortly after independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspended his campaign and endorsed Trump. This endorsement may have influenced some of the independent voters who were previously considering alternative candidates.